RTX CORPORATION
UEI QN1BCFY7JDJ5 · GUIDED MISSILE AND SPACE VEHICLE MANUFACTURING
Primary agency: Department of Defense
Composite
0.487
↓ 0.002 vs prior day
Percentile
99.7th
among flagged today
Lifetime $
$45.6B
across all federal awards
Awards
1,968
lifetime count
Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD
The brief
Three detectors fired for RTX Corporation. Benford's Law analysis found the leading-digit distribution of award amounts significantly deviates from expected natural frequencies, with digit 1 appearing in only 20.8 percent of transactions versus the expected 30.1 percent. A modification-growth detector identified one parent contract that experienced extraordinary dollar expansion relative to peers in guided-missile manufacturing, growing at a ratio 172 times the industry average. An Isolation Forest multivariate analysis flagged the entity as a statistical outlier based on its combined profile of massive total obligated value, high award count, concentration with a single agency, and elevated modification frequency.
The Benford test yielded a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic of 0.095 with p-value below 1e-15 across 1,968 transactions. The modification-growth z-score reached 16.64 sigma, with contract SPE4AX16D9476 showing a growth ratio of 5,995 compared to the NAICS average of 34.85. The Isolation Forest anomaly score was 0.908 on a 0-to-1 scale. RTX's lifetime obligated total is 45.6 billion dollars across 1,968 awards, all from the Department of Defense.
These statistical signals reflect RTX's position as a dominant prime contractor in aerospace and defense, not necessarily fraud indicators. The Benford deviation and modification patterns are consistent with large, established firms managing complex, long-running programs with frequent adjustments. The single-agency concentration is expected for a major defense industrial base player. The detectors are sensitive to scale and market structure; RTX's size and role in the defense supply chain naturally produce outlier statistics. No evidence of intentional manipulation is present in the data alone.
Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →
Detector breakdown
Benford's Law
Score 1.000Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.
Finding for this entity
- KS statistic
- 0.0950
- p-value
- 7.44 × 10^-16
- Transactions
- 1,968
Modification Growth
Score 1.000Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.
Finding for this entity
- Contract
- SPE4AX16D9476
- Growth ratio
- 5995.5×
- Peer average
- 34.9×
- Z-score
- 16.64
Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)
Score 0.908Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.
Finding for this entity
- Anomaly score (raw)
- -0.752
- Contamination
- 0.05
Score over time
Composite over 3 days · rank 21 today (was #4 on May 28, 2026)
Flagged contracts
Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.
| Award ID | Amount | Date | Competition | Triggered | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPE4AX16D9476 | — | — | — | Modification Growth | USAspending → |
