Fraudhound
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RTX CORPORATION

UEI QN1BCFY7JDJ5 · GUIDED MISSILE AND SPACE VEHICLE MANUFACTURING

Primary agency: Department of Defense

Composite

0.487

↓ 0.002 vs prior day

Percentile

99.7th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$45.6B

across all federal awards

Awards

1,968

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation Forest

Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD

The brief

Three detectors fired for RTX Corporation. Benford's Law analysis found the leading-digit distribution of award amounts significantly deviates from expected natural frequencies, with digit 1 appearing in only 20.8 percent of transactions versus the expected 30.1 percent. A modification-growth detector identified one parent contract that experienced extraordinary dollar expansion relative to peers in guided-missile manufacturing, growing at a ratio 172 times the industry average. An Isolation Forest multivariate analysis flagged the entity as a statistical outlier based on its combined profile of massive total obligated value, high award count, concentration with a single agency, and elevated modification frequency.

The Benford test yielded a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic of 0.095 with p-value below 1e-15 across 1,968 transactions. The modification-growth z-score reached 16.64 sigma, with contract SPE4AX16D9476 showing a growth ratio of 5,995 compared to the NAICS average of 34.85. The Isolation Forest anomaly score was 0.908 on a 0-to-1 scale. RTX's lifetime obligated total is 45.6 billion dollars across 1,968 awards, all from the Department of Defense.

These statistical signals reflect RTX's position as a dominant prime contractor in aerospace and defense, not necessarily fraud indicators. The Benford deviation and modification patterns are consistent with large, established firms managing complex, long-running programs with frequent adjustments. The single-agency concentration is expected for a major defense industrial base player. The detectors are sensitive to scale and market structure; RTX's size and role in the defense supply chain naturally produce outlier statistics. No evidence of intentional manipulation is present in the data alone.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 1.000

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0950
p-value
7.44 × 10^-16
Transactions
1,968
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 1.000

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
SPE4AX16D9476
Growth ratio
5995.5×
Peer average
34.9×
Z-score
16.64
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.908

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.752
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 21 today (was #4 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
SPE4AX16D9476Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for RTX CORPORATION on USAspending.gov →