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NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION

UEI PK8PM2GNVMP8 · OTHER AIRCRAFT PARTS AND AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING

Primary agency: Department of Defense

Composite

0.471

↓ 0.006 vs prior day

Percentile

99.6th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$17.8B

across all federal awards

Awards

720

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestSole-Source Concentration

Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD

The brief

Four detectors flagged Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation. Benford's Law analysis of leading digits in award amounts showed a statistically significant deviation, with digit 1 appearing 35.6% of the time versus the expected 30.1%, suggesting potential clustering in award values. Modification growth on contract N0001920G0005 expanded at an extreme rate relative to peers in aircraft parts manufacturing. The entity scored as a multivariate outlier via Isolation Forest, driven by its massive scale, single-agency concentration, and high modification frequency. Sole-source awards comprised 91.8% of its portfolio, substantially above the median of 45.2% for comparable manufacturers.

The modification growth ratio reached 20,039.85 on the flagged contract, compared to a peer average of 74.18, yielding a z-score of 19.50. Across 720 lifetime awards totaling $17.8 billion, 661 were sole-source. The Benford test produced a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic of 0.065 with p-value 0.0049. The Isolation Forest anomaly score of 0.84 reflects the entity's position as an extreme outlier in the feature space.

These signals reflect statistical anomalies rather than proof of misconduct. Northrop Grumman is a major defense contractor with legitimate reasons for high sole-source concentration and large modification volumes on critical programs. The single-agency focus (Department of Defense only) and narrow NAICS diversity are consistent with a specialized prime contractor role. Benford deviations can arise from legitimate business practices such as tiered pricing or contract structures. The peer group for aircraft parts manufacturing includes 328 firms of vastly different scales, limiting direct comparability.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 0.995

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0646
p-value
4.91 × 10^-3
Transactions
720
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 1.000

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
N0001920G0005
Growth ratio
20039.9×
Peer average
74.2×
Z-score
19.50
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.841

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.724
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Sole-Source Concentration

Score 0.549

Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.

Finding for this entity

Sole-source share
91.8%
Sole-source awards
661
Total awards
720
Peer median share
45.2%
Peer count
328
Z-score
1.20
How to read Sole-Source Concentration

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 29 today (was #18 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
N0001920G0005Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION on USAspending.gov →