NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION
UEI PK8PM2GNVMP8 · OTHER AIRCRAFT PARTS AND AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING
Primary agency: Department of Defense
Composite
0.471
↓ 0.006 vs prior day
Percentile
99.6th
among flagged today
Lifetime $
$17.8B
across all federal awards
Awards
720
lifetime count
Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD
The brief
Four detectors flagged Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation. Benford's Law analysis of leading digits in award amounts showed a statistically significant deviation, with digit 1 appearing 35.6% of the time versus the expected 30.1%, suggesting potential clustering in award values. Modification growth on contract N0001920G0005 expanded at an extreme rate relative to peers in aircraft parts manufacturing. The entity scored as a multivariate outlier via Isolation Forest, driven by its massive scale, single-agency concentration, and high modification frequency. Sole-source awards comprised 91.8% of its portfolio, substantially above the median of 45.2% for comparable manufacturers.
The modification growth ratio reached 20,039.85 on the flagged contract, compared to a peer average of 74.18, yielding a z-score of 19.50. Across 720 lifetime awards totaling $17.8 billion, 661 were sole-source. The Benford test produced a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic of 0.065 with p-value 0.0049. The Isolation Forest anomaly score of 0.84 reflects the entity's position as an extreme outlier in the feature space.
These signals reflect statistical anomalies rather than proof of misconduct. Northrop Grumman is a major defense contractor with legitimate reasons for high sole-source concentration and large modification volumes on critical programs. The single-agency focus (Department of Defense only) and narrow NAICS diversity are consistent with a specialized prime contractor role. Benford deviations can arise from legitimate business practices such as tiered pricing or contract structures. The peer group for aircraft parts manufacturing includes 328 firms of vastly different scales, limiting direct comparability.
Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →
Detector breakdown
Benford's Law
Score 0.995Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.
Finding for this entity
- KS statistic
- 0.0646
- p-value
- 4.91 × 10^-3
- Transactions
- 720
Modification Growth
Score 1.000Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.
Finding for this entity
- Contract
- N0001920G0005
- Growth ratio
- 20039.9×
- Peer average
- 74.2×
- Z-score
- 19.50
Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)
Score 0.841Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.
Finding for this entity
- Anomaly score (raw)
- -0.724
- Contamination
- 0.05
Sole-Source Concentration
Score 0.549Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.
Finding for this entity
- Sole-source share
- 91.8%
- Sole-source awards
- 661
- Total awards
- 720
- Peer median share
- 45.2%
- Peer count
- 328
- Z-score
- 1.20
Score over time
Composite over 3 days · rank 29 today (was #18 on May 28, 2026)
Flagged contracts
Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.
| Award ID | Amount | Date | Competition | Triggered | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N0001920G0005 | — | — | — | Modification Growth | USAspending → |
View all contracts for NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION on USAspending.gov →
