GOODWILL INDUSTRIES OF SOUTH FLORIDA INC

Four detectors flagged this entity. Modification growth showed the most extreme signal: a single parent contract grew by a factor of 1194, roughly 71 times faster than the median growth ratio for peers in cut-and-sew apparel manufacturing. Sole-source concentration also fired, with 92 percent of awards issued without competition compared to a median of zero percent among 30 peer firms in the same industry code. Isolation Forest identified the entity as a multivariate outlier, driven partly by concentration of all awards within a single agency and high modification frequency. Benford's law detected a slight excess of leading digits 2 and 3 in award amounts, though the statistical significance was marginal.

The worst-performing contract, W91CRB21D0028, grew from its initial value to 1194 times that amount. The entity's 133 lifetime awards totaled 213.1 million dollars, all from the Department of Defense. Among 30 peer firms, the median sole-source fraction was zero; this entity's 91.7 percent sole-source rate deviated 2.39 standard deviations above the peer mean. The Benford test yielded a p-value of 0.070, below conventional thresholds but not definitive.

These statistical anomalies warrant scrutiny but do not prove fraud. Goodwill Industries operates as a nonprofit vocational rehabilitation provider, a context that may legitimately explain concentrated sole-source awards from DoD for specialized labor programs. The small peer group of 30 firms in this narrow NAICS code limits the robustness of peer comparisons. Modification growth, while extreme, could reflect contract scope expansion rather than improper billing. A compliance review should examine the contract file for W91CRB21D0028 and verify the business rationale for sole-source awards.