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THE BOEING COMPANY

UEI M25AW7P5S7K7 · ENGINEERING SERVICES

Primary agency: Department of Defense

Composite

0.458

↓ 0.034 vs prior day

Percentile

99.4th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$7.6B

across all federal awards

Awards

333

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestSole-Source Concentration

Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD

The brief

Four detectors flagged Boeing. Benford's law analysis of leading digits in 333 award amounts showed a p-value of 0.9999, indicating the distribution aligns with expected patterns and poses no concern. Modification growth on contract FA810616D0002 revealed a 17,919-fold increase in obligated value, vastly exceeding the 74-fold median for engineering-services peers, with a z-score of 17.43. Isolation Forest identified the entity as a multivariate outlier with a score of 0.81, driven by concentration in a single agency, high modification frequency at 80 percent, and low competition ratio of 13 percent. Sole-source concentration showed 288 of 333 awards were sole-source, representing 86.5 percent, compared to a peer median of zero percent.

The modification growth signal is the most acute: one contract grew from baseline to approximately 7.6 billion dollars lifetime across all awards. The sole-source fraction of 86.5 percent deviates 2.76 sigmas above the engineering-services peer standard. Boeing's entire award portfolio concentrates under a single awarding agency despite operating across ten NAICS codes.

These patterns reflect Boeing's status as a major defense contractor with established relationships and specialized capabilities rather than fraud indicators. The sole-source concentration and single-agency focus are consistent with how large primes operate in defense contracting. The modification growth, while statistically extreme, aligns with how major platform contracts accumulate obligations over years. The peer group of 657 engineering-services firms includes vastly smaller entities, limiting direct comparability.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 0.000

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0158
p-value
1.00 × 10^+0
Transactions
333
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 1.000

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
FA810616D0002
Growth ratio
17919.1×
Peer average
74.2×
Z-score
17.43
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.807

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.710
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Sole-Source Concentration

Score 0.854

Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.

Finding for this entity

Sole-source share
86.5%
Sole-source awards
288
Total awards
333
Peer median share
0.0%
Peer count
657
Z-score
2.76
How to read Sole-Source Concentration

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 40 today (was #823 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
FA810616D0002Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for THE BOEING COMPANY on USAspending.gov →