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GOVERNMENT SCIENTIFIC SOURCE INC

UEI J49CN39QTNW3 · ANALYTICAL LABORATORY INSTRUMENT MANUFACTURING

Primary agency: Department of Health and Human Services

Composite

0.473

↓ 0.001 vs prior day

Percentile

99.6th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$144.6M

across all federal awards

Awards

1,825

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation Forest

Scored July 29, 2026 · HHS

The brief

Three detectors fired for Government Scientific Source Inc. Benford's Law analysis of 1,797 award amounts shows a statistically significant deviation from expected leading-digit frequencies, with digit 2 appearing far more often than natural (27.4% vs. 17.6% expected) and digit 1 appearing less often (22.1% vs. 30.1% expected), yielding a p-value near zero. Modification growth on contract SPE2DE24D0014 expanded at a rate 1,491 times the initial value, vastly exceeding the NAICS peer average of 58-fold growth. Isolation Forest flagged the entity as a multivariate outlier based on its combination of high total dollars, large award count, narrow agency concentration, and frequent modifications.

The Benford test produced a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic of 0.080 across 1,797 transactions. The modification growth z-score reached 9.36 sigmas, indicating extreme deviation from peers in NAICS 423450. The entity's feature profile shows $3.2 billion in lifetime obligations across 1,797 awards from only 2 agencies, with a 90.3% competition ratio and 9.3% modification frequency.

These statistical anomalies warrant scrutiny but do not confirm fraud. Benford deviations can arise from legitimate business practices, contract structures, or rounding conventions in a mature vendor's portfolio. The extreme modification growth on a single contract may reflect scope changes or performance adjustments rather than impropriety. The isolation score reflects the entity's unusual profile as a high-volume, long-standing supplier concentrated in two agencies—a pattern consistent with a specialized government contractor rather than necessarily fraudulent behavior.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 1.000

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0795
p-value
2.65 × 10^-10
Transactions
1,797
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 0.999

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
SPE2DE24D0014
Growth ratio
1491.2×
Peer average
57.8×
Z-score
9.36
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.956

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.772
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 28 today (was #9 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
SPE2DE24D0014Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for GOVERNMENT SCIENTIFIC SOURCE INC on USAspending.gov →