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OPTUMSERVE HEALTH SERVICES, INC.

UEI G5XXLHZSW8X3 · ALL OTHER MISCELLANEOUS AMBULATORY HEALTH CARE SERVICES

Primary agency: Department of Health and Human Services

Composite

0.501

↑ 0.023 vs prior day

Percentile

99.8th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$548.9M

across all federal awards

Awards

36

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestSole-Source Concentration

Scored July 29, 2026 · HHS

The brief

OptumServe Health Services received a contract modification on award HT001119D0002 that grew 429 times in value, vastly exceeding the 11.5-fold average growth rate for peers in the same NAICS code. The entity also concentrates heavily on sole-source awards, winning 24 of 36 total awards without competition, compared to a median of zero sole-source awards among 47 peer organizations in ambulatory health services. A multivariate outlier detection flagged the entity as moderately anomalous based on its combination of high total dollars, award count, modification frequency, and low competition ratio. Benford's law analysis of leading digits showed no significant deviation from expected patterns.

The modification growth z-score reached 12.19 sigma, indicating extreme statistical rarity. The entity's sole-source concentration z-score was 4.58 sigma, placing it in the 97th percentile of suspicion. Over its lifetime, OptumServe accumulated 548.9 million dollars across 36 awards, with 88.9 percent of awards receiving modifications. The isolation forest anomaly score was 0.649 on a 0-to-1 scale. Benford's test yielded a p-value of 0.41, showing no digit-frequency concern.

These detectors identify statistical outliers, not confirmed fraud. The extreme modification growth may reflect legitimate contract scope expansion in healthcare services delivery, particularly given HHS's role in pandemic response and emergency health initiatives. The high sole-source concentration warrants scrutiny but could reflect specialized service requirements or incumbent advantages. The small peer group of 47 entities in this NAICS category limits the robustness of comparative benchmarks.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 0.590

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.1479
p-value
4.10 × 10^-1
Transactions
36
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 1.000

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
HT001119D0002
Growth ratio
428.7×
Peer average
11.5×
Z-score
12.19
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.649

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.645
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Sole-Source Concentration

Score 0.973

Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.

Finding for this entity

Sole-source share
66.7%
Sole-source awards
24
Total awards
36
Peer median share
0.0%
Peer count
47
Z-score
4.58
How to read Sole-Source Concentration

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 15 today (was #193 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
HT001119D0002Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for OPTUMSERVE HEALTH SERVICES, INC. on USAspending.gov →