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LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION

UEI G4KDGE4JFFK7 · AIRCRAFT MANUFACTURING

Primary agency: Department of Defense

Composite

0.561

↓ 0.025 vs prior day

Percentile

100.0th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$252.9B

across all federal awards

Awards

1,189

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestSole-Source Concentration

Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD

The brief

Four detectors flagged Lockheed Martin. Benford's law analysis of leading digits in award amounts showed a p-value of 0.149, indicating the distribution is consistent with expected patterns. Modification growth on contract F4262001D0058 revealed a growth ratio of 11,894 compared to a peer average of 36, yielding a z-score of 41.7—a severe statistical outlier. Isolation Forest identified the entity as a multivariate anomaly with a score of 0.916, driven by concentration in a single agency and extremely high modification frequency. Sole-source concentration showed 984 of 1,189 awards (83 percent) were sole-source, a z-score of 2.65 above the NAICS median of zero.

The modification growth signal is the most striking: one contract grew by a factor of nearly 12,000 times the peer average growth rate. The entity received all awards from a single agency and modified 77 percent of its contracts. Among 657 peers in NAICS 541330, the median sole-source fraction is zero, making Lockheed's 83 percent substantially unusual.

These signals reflect Lockheed Martin's role as a primary defense contractor with deep, long-standing relationships with DoD. The single-agency concentration and high sole-source rate are consistent with how major primes operate in classified and strategic programs. The extreme modification growth may indicate contract repricing or scope expansion typical of large development programs rather than fraud. The entity's $253 billion lifetime total and 1,189 awards establish it as a legitimate, established contractor; statistical anomalies here warrant context before escalation.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 0.851

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0331
p-value
1.49 × 10^-1
Transactions
1,189
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 1.000

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
F4262001D0058
Growth ratio
11893.9×
Peer average
36.3×
Z-score
41.75
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.916

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.756
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Sole-Source Concentration

Score 0.838

Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.

Finding for this entity

Sole-source share
82.8%
Sole-source awards
984
Total awards
1,189
Peer median share
0.0%
Peer count
657
Z-score
2.65
How to read Sole-Source Concentration

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 4 today (was #23 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
F4262001D0058Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION on USAspending.gov →