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GAP SOLUTIONS, INC.

UEI F8GUESLHSWJ7 · ADMINISTRATIVE MANAGEMENT AND GENERAL MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES

Primary agency: Department of Health and Human Services

Composite

0.520

↑ 0.220 vs prior day

Percentile

99.8th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$329.8M

across all federal awards

Awards

658

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestAward Velocity

Scored July 29, 2026 · HHS

The brief

Four detectors flagged Gap Solutions. Benford's Law analysis of 651 award amounts shows the leading digit one appears 40.4 percent of the time versus an expected 30.1 percent, a statistically significant deviation with p-value below one in a million. Modification growth on contract 75N95021D00011 expanded at a ratio of 22,036 times, far exceeding the 304-fold average for peers in the same NAICS code. An Isolation Forest multivariate test scored the entity at 0.77 on a zero-to-one outlier scale, driven by concentration in just two agencies, high modification frequency, and a $330 million lifetime total across 651 awards. Award velocity also spiked: 83 awards arrived in the most recent 90 days versus a historical baseline of 0.63 awards per day, yielding a z-score of 3.50.

The Benford detector's Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic was 0.108 with p-value 4.89e-07. The modification growth z-score reached 7.13, comparing a 22,036 ratio to a peer mean of 304. The Isolation Forest raw anomaly score was -0.69 under 5 percent contamination. Award velocity showed 83 recent awards against an expected 56.7 under Poisson baseline, spanning from October 2023 to July 2026.

These statistical signals warrant scrutiny but do not prove fraud. Benford deviations can arise in legitimate consulting contracts where round numbers or specific price points dominate. The extreme modification growth on a single contract may reflect scope changes on a large, long-running engagement rather than improper inflation. The entity's concentration with HHS and high modification frequency are consistent with a specialized vendor serving one agency's evolving needs. The small peer group in this NAICS and the entity's substantial legitimate award history (658 awards, $330 million) provide context that may explain rather than condemn these anomalies.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 1.000

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.1081
p-value
4.89 × 10^-7
Transactions
651
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 0.994

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
75N95021D00011
Growth ratio
22035.9×
Peer average
303.7×
Z-score
7.13
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.765

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.693
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Award Velocity

Score 0.817

Contractors whose recent award count is statistically far above their own historical baseline. Could indicate sudden favoritism or a relationship shift at an agency.

Finding for this entity

Recent awards
83
Baseline awards
403
Expected recent
56.7
Z-score
3.50
How to read Award Velocity

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 12 today (was #200 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
75N95021D00011Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for GAP SOLUTIONS, INC. on USAspending.gov →