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NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION

UEI E4X3BLZPPPX3 · SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVIGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL, AND NAUTICAL SYSTEM AND INSTRUMENT MANUFACTURING

Primary agency: Department of Defense

Composite

0.481

↑ 0.086 vs prior day

Percentile

99.7th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$5.3B

across all federal awards

Awards

351

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestSole-Source Concentration

Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD

The brief

Four detectors flagged Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation. The modification growth detector identified a single contract that expanded at 1,249 times its initial value, far exceeding the 36-fold average for peers in engineering services. The sole-source concentration detector found that 341 of 351 awards were non-competitive, placing the entity 3.1 standard deviations above the median for its industry. The isolation forest algorithm scored the entity as a multivariate outlier, driven by extreme concentration in a single agency, high modification frequency, and minimal competition. Benford's law analysis of leading digits showed no significant anomaly.

The worst-performing contract, N6893617D0017, grew at a z-score of 4.27 sigmas above peer norms. Sole-source awards comprise 97.2 percent of the entity's portfolio versus a median of zero percent among 657 peers in NAICS 541330. The entity has received 351 lifetime awards totaling 5.3 billion dollars, all from the Department of Defense. Modification frequency stands at 85.2 percent, and competition ratio is 2.8 percent.

These statistical signals reflect patterns common to large, specialized defense contractors with long-standing sole-source relationships rather than indicators of fraud. Northrop Grumman's scale, single-agency concentration, and high modification rates are consistent with its role as a prime systems integrator on multi-year development programs. The peer group for NAICS 541330 includes many smaller firms with different contracting profiles, limiting direct comparability. Benford's test yielded no concern, and the entity's 351-award history provides robust data.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 0.510

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0445
p-value
4.90 × 10^-1
Transactions
351
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 0.906

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
N6893617D0017
Growth ratio
1249.4×
Peer average
36.3×
Z-score
4.27
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.875

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.738
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Sole-Source Concentration

Score 0.891

Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.

Finding for this entity

Sole-source share
97.2%
Sole-source awards
341
Total awards
351
Peer median share
0.0%
Peer count
657
Z-score
3.11
How to read Sole-Source Concentration

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 23 today (was #79 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
N6893617D0017Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION on USAspending.gov →