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NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION

UEI DJUCEANK2KP4 · OTHER AIRCRAFT PARTS AND AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING

Primary agency: Department of Defense

Composite

0.476

↑ 0.053 vs prior day

Percentile

99.7th

among flagged today

Lifetime $

$4.6B

across all federal awards

Awards

215

lifetime count

Detectors fired today:Benford's LawModification GrowthIsolation ForestSole-Source Concentration

Scored July 29, 2026 · DoD

The brief

Four detectors flagged Northrop Grumman Systems Corporation. Benford's Law analysis of leading digits in award amounts showed a distribution that deviates from expected patterns, with fewer awards starting in 1 than typical. Modification growth on contract FA862124DB001 expanded at an extreme rate relative to peers in the same industry code. Isolation Forest identified the entity as a multivariate outlier based on its combination of high total dollars, award count, modification frequency, and low competition ratio. Sole-source concentration revealed that over half of awards were non-competitive, substantially above the median for comparable firms.

The modification growth ratio reached 1,240 on the flagged contract, compared to a peer average of 35, yielding a z-score of 6.64 standard deviations above the mean. The entity holds 4.6 billion dollars across 215 lifetime awards. Of those 215 awards, 121 were sole-source, representing 56 percent of the portfolio. The Benford test produced a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic of 0.087 with a p-value of 0.077, marginally below conventional significance thresholds.

These signals reflect statistical anomalies rather than confirmed fraud. Northrop Grumman is a large, established defense contractor with legitimate reasons for high modification activity and sole-source awards in specialized aerospace manufacturing. The peer group for sole-source concentration uses NAICS 541330, which may not perfectly align with aircraft parts manufacturing. The Benford deviation is modest and not statistically significant at standard levels. Modification growth, however, warrants closer review of contract FA862124DB001 to verify whether scope changes justify the scale of dollar increases.

Auto-generated by AI · Methodology →

Detector breakdown

Benford's Law

Score 0.923

Looks for unnatural patterns in the first digit of award amounts. Real-world dollar amounts follow a predictable distribution where the digit "1" appears in ~30% of values. Deviations can indicate manipulation or manufactured numbers.

Finding for this entity

KS statistic
0.0871
p-value
7.67 × 10^-2
Transactions
215
How to read Benford's Law

Modification Growth

Score 0.990

Detects parent contracts whose modifications grew much faster than peer contracts in the same NAICS code. Extreme growth can mean scope creep, inadequate competition, or post-award gaming.

Finding for this entity

Contract
FA862124DB001
Growth ratio
1240.3×
Peer average
35.2×
Z-score
6.64
How to read Modification Growth

Isolation Forest (Multivariate Outlier)

Score 0.863

Machine learning method that finds contractors whose overall profile — agency mix, sole-source rate, NAICS spread, modification frequency — is statistically unlike anyone else's.

Finding for this entity

Anomaly score (raw)
-0.733
Contamination
0.05
How to read Isolation Forest

Sole-Source Concentration

Score 0.690

Contractors that win far more non-competitive awards than industry peers. Sole-source contracts are legal and sometimes necessary; extreme concentration is unusual.

Finding for this entity

Sole-source share
56.3%
Sole-source awards
121
Total awards
215
Peer median share
0.0%
Peer count
657
Z-score
1.80
How to read Sole-Source Concentration

Score over time

0.000.250.50May 28, 2026Jul 29, 2026

Composite over 3 days · rank 24 today (was #162 on May 28, 2026)

Flagged contracts

Contracts that triggered one or more detectors above.

Award IDAmountDateCompetitionTriggeredSource
FA862124DB001Modification GrowthUSAspending →

View all contracts for NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION on USAspending.gov →